Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Will I win my bet?

Prior to the start of the season, I made a bet with a friend that six Brewers would hit 20 or more home runs. Do you think I can win it? Here are the HR totals so far this season:

Braun: 33
Fielder: 28
Cameron: 23
Hardy: 20
Hart: 19
Hall: 15
Branyan: 12
Weeks: 10
Kapler: 7

So far, I've got four guys with 20 or more homers, and one more with 19. The real question is whether Hall can get five more in the remaining 30 games. He's not really on pace, but should get more playing time with the loss of Branyan (who sort of would be on pace if he wasn't injured).

For reference, the 1982 Brewers had five players with over 20 home runs, and another with 19:

Thomas: 39
Oglivie: 34
Cooper: 32
Yount: 29
Simmons: 23
Molitor: 19
Money: 16

This all got me thinking about what the highest number of players on a roster with 20 or more home runs might have been. Here's a list of teams with the most players with 20 or more home runs in a season. Three teams (the 2005 Rangers, 2000 Blue Jays, and 1996 Orioles) have had seven players with 20 or more home runs.


E.S.K. said...

I doubt it. Hall has hit 1 home run in the last month.

DannyNoonan said...

He hit 4 the month before.

PaulNoonan said...

It all depends on how many lefties we face down the stretch. I'd put the over/under on Hall at 17.5.

E.S.K. said...

Shit, he hit 35 two years ago. Guess it depends on where you want to start the line.

But no, you will not win the bet, even if you combine Hall and Counsell and Kendall

Anonymous said...

I bet Branyan had your hopes up for a while.

Anonymous said...

The 2005 Rangers had 7 guys with over 20, and two more guys with 16 and 17 HRs on the season. That's nuts.