Tuesday, August 10, 2010

Fangraphs Likes The Edmonds Trade


Overall, this wasn’t that poor of a trade for either team, although Cincinnati may have slightly overpaid for an outfielder who could see serious regression while giving up a much younger outfielder who could be useful in the future, maybe even now. They’re clearly going all out in the NL Central race, which they should, but I wonder if this move was necessary for them, or if the asking price for Edmonds was really as high as Dickerson. Milwaukee comes away with a big plus, acquiring a solid outfielder just because they offered a Spring Training invite to an older outfielder who hadn’t played pro ball in over a year.


E.S.K. said...

The problem with the people who like this trade is that Dickerson's only value is as a defensive outfielder. Dickerson would obviously be used in center (he isn't displacing Braun or Hart) or as a 4th outfielder. The problem with this defensive prowess is that Dickerson has spent the vast majority of his time playing corner outfield (94 games) as opposed the center (40). His numbers are inflated because of it.

Even if we say he will perform at his absurd UZR/150 rating of 47.9 when he gets to 150 games in two years, looking at just UZR Carlos Gomez is twice the fielder Dickerson is.

While he does walk more often than Gomez, he also is more prone to striking out. Lastly, he seems to have been incredibly lucky at the plate. His BABIP for his career (including minors) is .371. It's a weird number if only because Dickerson doesn't hit for any power. His career slugging % of .421 is bolstered mostly by an anomalous 2008 campaign that has yet to even come close to manifesting itself again.

Lastly, he is 28 years old. There is no more potential left in this guy. This is exactly what he is. An old 700-ish OPS guy without speed who lives on his defense. Sucks for Dickerson that the Brewers already have a younger version with speed.

Maybe Dickerson isn't baseball-retarded like Gomez though. That would be nice.

All that being said, I don't dislike the trade.

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