My problem with McGehee is that he's tits on a bull on this team. As a right-handed third baseman, I don't believe he's good enough to take the role of incumbent rh 3b, who's general crappiness is well-documented, but through it all has remained an effective platoon vs lhp.
As a second baseman, prior to this season he played all of seven games there in six minor league seasons. He was a third baseman in spite of the fact that he never displayed the pop of a corner infielder, yet they put him there because he lacked middle infield skills.
If he needs to develop middle infield skills, I'd rather he do it in Nashville.
Can we stop talking about Batting Average? I'm not in a Batting Average mood. On something I haven't posted yet (and may not) I wrote this this morning:
Mat Gamel, a left-handed hitter, is the other option at third base, but he came into play Wednesday hitting .245 and has only recently found a groove, hitting .333 (8 for 24) in his last nine games.
Mat Gamel has yet to set the world on fire with his hitting (although he certainly hasn’t been bad either), but if we’re going to talk about Gamel, how about we don’t use batting average, and we mention his minor league stats. For instance, in 2008 Gamel hit .325/.392/.531, and before being called up this year he was torching AAA to the tune of 336/.428/.647. So far in the majors he’s shown good patience, a nice approach at the plate, and the ability to hit for power. He’s hitting .240/.309/.440 Do you know what’s fun about Mat Gamel’s batting average? We can use it to show the folly of using small sample size AND batting average simultaneously. You see, Mat’s .240 average is based on the fact that he has 12 hits in 50 official at bats. If you just pro-rate that to 100 ABs, you’ll see that he is on pace for 24 hits per 100 ABs, or (Ta-Da!) .240. Now, consider what would have happened had one or two more baseball managed to find the hole or fall in for a hit. If one extra ground ball gets through the hole, all of a sudden he’s a .260 hitter. If another on squeaks through he’s up to .280! And it works the other way too. If the opposition makes a few great defensive plays, all of a sudden Gamel is a Mendoza line bum. Let’s not ever use BA again, K?
1. Don't use BA. 2. I don't know. Some statistician could probably tell you a good minimum. As a rule of thumb I'd go with "the point at which individual occurrences no longer have a seemingly large effect on the statistic in question."
I also don't think the question requires that you draw a line. As long as you realize what you're dealing with and adjust your conclusions as appropriate, you'll be fine.
Wow. That's a pretty crappy baseball team.
ReplyDeleteYay Errors!
ReplyDeleteAh crap.
ReplyDeleteSo far this reminds me of one of my softball games.
ReplyDeleteI'll bet I could get a beer for less than $6.50 at one of your softball games.
ReplyDeleteI hate sinkerballers
ReplyDeleteTreu dat. Or sponsor bar's special today is $3.00 personal pitchers.
ReplyDeleteThey seem to lose their discipline against the sinkerballers. It's like they've never watched Jeff Suppan.
Step 1: Make them come up by taking low pitches.
Step 2: Hammer slow pitches out over the plate.
Anyone else having problems with MLB.com?
ReplyDeleteNot me, I'm fine. Might be some high-traffic problems though. Lot's of day games today.
ReplyDeletefucking McGehee....
ReplyDeleteActually, my softball team is more fundamentally sound than this.
ReplyDeleteI'd sure like to put a bullet in the notion that McGehee is a major league second baseman.
ReplyDeleteI'm briefly flipping over to the Cardinals game, as the bastards just went ahead.
ReplyDeleteMcGehee is batting .269
ReplyDeleteThat's fourth best in this lineup. Where else would you put him if not 2b?
Nashville.
ReplyDeleteThat was an uncharacteristic error, and with Weeks gone, you need him for the time being. It would be nice to improve that situation, however.
ReplyDeleteWhat .269 batter do you replace him with?
ReplyDeleteoops. 264 now.
points for nashville though, that was funny.
ReplyDeleteWow. that was efficient
ReplyDeleteTracker just wants Joe Dillon back.
ReplyDeleteThe fact that McGehee's .265/.330/.360 line is irreplaceable from within the organization is sort of depressing though.
ReplyDeleteAnd fucking Cardinals...
My problem with McGehee is that he's tits on a bull on this team. As a right-handed third baseman, I don't believe he's good enough to take the role of incumbent rh 3b, who's general crappiness is well-documented, but through it all has remained an effective platoon vs lhp.
ReplyDeleteAs a second baseman, prior to this season he played all of seven games there in six minor league seasons. He was a third baseman in spite of the fact that he never displayed the pop of a corner infielder, yet they put him there because he lacked middle infield skills.
If he needs to develop middle infield skills, I'd rather he do it in Nashville.
Furthermore, he's kind of a fat bastard.
Dillon: .364/.462/.500.
ReplyDeleteJust sayin.
i'll take Outs for $100 Alex
ReplyDeletewho is that right fielder?
ReplyDeleteone single propels him from .188 to .235
oh well
ReplyDelete47 pitches for Cook. Pretty darn efficient so far.
ReplyDeleteYep. Vs. 91 for Yo through 4. I don't see him starting the 6th
ReplyDeleteThey need to try and take a few walks off of Cook and get those pitches to come up.
ReplyDeleteIf Mat Gamel ever tries to bunt again I'm going to start spelling his name with two t's.
ReplyDeleteYou don't blame Macha for giving him the green light?
ReplyDeleteOK, that's something.
ReplyDeleteWho comes in for Yo?
ReplyDeleteBill Hall OPS v. Righties = .579
ReplyDeleteYo v. Righties = .438
Well, at least he's a little better.
Why would you hit Hall here? Cook is right handed correct?
ReplyDeletePlease just take a walk.
Yo's career OPS split against RHP is .620, however.
ReplyDeleteHoly cow, who could have seen that coming??
ReplyDeleteAnd, of course, you could have pinch hit a good player there.
ReplyDeleteWhy would you pinch hit Hall? Because you're stupid.
Well we won't see him again
ReplyDeleteI think Hall exceeded expectations by fouling one off.
ReplyDeleteBill hall is so bad.
ReplyDelete3 runs is going to be a tall order for the JV.
ReplyDeleteEspecially with Cook on a complete-game pace.
ReplyDeleteOK rookie, let's see that power.
ReplyDeleteSwing the bat.
ReplyDeletethat was a wicked pitch
ReplyDeletedis sux
ReplyDeletedo not F ing walk the pitcher
ReplyDeleteI feel this one about to get out of hand completely.
ReplyDeleteAlright, the back of the order providing some production.
ReplyDeleteJason Kendall, you'd better not swing at this pitch.
ReplyDeletejust to fill in, McGehee now batting .291
ReplyDeleteCan we stop talking about Batting Average? I'm not in a Batting Average mood. On something I haven't posted yet (and may not) I wrote this this morning:
ReplyDeleteMat Gamel, a left-handed hitter, is the other option at third base, but he came into play Wednesday hitting .245 and has only recently found a groove, hitting .333 (8 for 24) in his last nine games.
Mat Gamel has yet to set the world on fire with his hitting (although he certainly hasn’t been bad either), but if we’re going to talk about Gamel, how about we don’t use batting average, and we mention his minor league stats. For instance, in 2008 Gamel hit .325/.392/.531, and before being called up this year he was torching AAA to the tune of 336/.428/.647. So far in the majors he’s shown good patience, a nice approach at the plate, and the ability to hit for power. He’s hitting .240/.309/.440
Do you know what’s fun about Mat Gamel’s batting average? We can use it to show the folly of using small sample size AND batting average simultaneously. You see, Mat’s .240 average is based on the fact that he has 12 hits in 50 official at bats. If you just pro-rate that to 100 ABs, you’ll see that he is on pace for 24 hits per 100 ABs, or (Ta-Da!) .240. Now, consider what would have happened had one or two more baseball managed to find the hole or fall in for a hit. If one extra ground ball gets through the hole, all of a sudden he’s a .260 hitter. If another on squeaks through he’s up to .280! And it works the other way too. If the opposition makes a few great defensive plays, all of a sudden Gamel is a Mendoza line bum.
Let’s not ever use BA again, K?
Substituting furiously now. 2.25 ERA for Peralta
ReplyDeleteGot any other nerves i can stomp on?
ReplyDeleteHow about saves? Let's discuss the awesomeness of Heath Bell.
ReplyDeleteWait, i've got one.
ReplyDeletePeralta hasn't won any games. He must suck.
Loaded for Braun. Well, can't ask for much more than that.
ReplyDeletetime for the Hebrew Hammer
ReplyDeleteAlso, the Cubs have tied up there game. Frak.
ReplyDeletegee. Hart with the only RBI.
ReplyDeleteThese next three Rockies are the ones who've batted the most damage.
ReplyDeleteAnd another hit for Spilborghs
ReplyDeleteI hate Ryan Spillborghs. Every single one of them.
ReplyDeleteAh crap.
ReplyDeleteStewart goes again, too.
ReplyDeleteI approve this intentional walk
Phillips hasn't done anything all day.
ReplyDeleteIf chaos theory holds he'll continue to do nothing
Phillips had to reach into the next county to make contact.
ReplyDeleteBA says Kendall would like to try MMA when his playing days are over.
ReplyDeleteWhy wait
That was craptastic.
ReplyDeleteSo how does one determine an acceptable sample size
ReplyDelete1. Don't use BA.
ReplyDelete2. I don't know. Some statistician could probably tell you a good minimum. As a rule of thumb I'd go with "the point at which individual occurrences no longer have a seemingly large effect on the statistic in question."
I also don't think the question requires that you draw a line. As long as you realize what you're dealing with and adjust your conclusions as appropriate, you'll be fine.
ReplyDeleteUmm, Macha, helll-LOOOOO?!?!? YOU CAN'T PH RIVERA... WHO'S GONNA CATCH THE REST OF THE GAME IF KENDALL DIES BETWEEN INNINGS?????
ReplyDeleteDear Mike Rivera,
ReplyDeleteIf you swing at this pitch I will start calling you Jason Kendall.
You suck Jason Kendall.
ReplyDeleteI'd throw at his head to make sure.
ReplyDeleteThough i'm pretty sure the Brewers carry a third catcher. not certain only cuz i don;t know his name
Ryan, you're awesome. Mike "Jason Kendall" Rivera, I hate you with the fire of 1000 volcanoes.
ReplyDeleteC'mon Rookie!
ReplyDeleteWell, that's why you're a rookie I suppose.
ReplyDeleteNow I am ready to do my breakfast, when having my breakfast coming
ReplyDeleteagain to read more news.
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